THE EVOLUTION OF IRAN–SAUDI RELATIONS SINCE THE ESTABLISHMENT OF THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC

Authors

  • Володимир Кіяниця Educational and Scientific Institute of International Relations of Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6901-9581

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17721/1728-2292.2024/1-58/61-72

Keywords:

Islamic Republic of Iran, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Persian Gulf, regional security

Abstract

Background. The Islamic Republic of Iran, whose political strategy in the Persian Gulf aims to promote the country's dominance in the region, inevitably faces the reaction of another influential regional rival – the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Since the declaration of the Islamic Republic, the relations between both countries have been characterized by unstable dynamics due to deep antagonism shaped by internal and external political factors. The purpose of the publication was to analyze the evolution of Iran–Saudi relations and identify key factors that determine the dynamics of relations and shape the causes of confrontation.

Methods. The study utilized such general logical methods as analysis, deduction, induction and abstraction. Additionally, historical method, comparative method, modeling method, as well as methods of contextual and critical analysis were applied.

Results. The study identified the interconnection of Iran's internal political dynamics with the nature of its relations with Saudi Arabia. Key conflict-generating factors included the nature of the political regimes in both countries, religious differences, the ideological discourse of the Islamic Republic, national identity, and the struggle for regional dominance. The intensification of the conflict is attributed to the peculiarities of regional alliances, the presence of the United States in the region, and active cooperation between Saudi Arabia and the USA, as well as Iran's ties with armed groups operating in the region and the nature of its nuclear program. Additionally, it was noted that the evolution of these relations is influenced by the United States and China.

Conclusions. Based on the analysis of the research findings, it can be concluded that the relations between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia encompass a complex of issues due to the influence of a number of interconnected conflict-generating factors, which provoke confrontation. However, the resolution of this conflict may be possible with the involvement of non-regional actors.

References

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Zalayat, I., & Guzansky, Y. (2023). The Gulf States and the Israel-Hamas War. Institute for National Security Studies. http://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep54871

Список використаних джерел (англ.):

Abuamer, M. (2023). Saudi Arabia and Iran: Politics as the Dynamo of Economics. Ties That Don't Bind: The Politics of Saudi-Iranian Trade Relations. Arab Center for Research & Policy Studies, 11–20. http://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep52979.5

Al Saied, N. (2021, August 27). Sectarianism and ideology: The cases of Iran and Saudi Arabia. Middle East Institute. https://www.mei.edu/publications/sectarianism-and-ideology-cases-iran-and-saudi-arabia

Alharbi, R. (2021). Impact of COVID-19 on Saudi Arabia's economy: Evidence from macro-micro modelling. PSU Research Review. https://doi.org/10.1108/prr-08-2021-0039

Almaari, F. (2023, March 16). Clarifying the Status of Previous Iran-Saudi Agreements. The Washington Institute. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/clarifying-status-previous-iran-saudi-agreements

Azizi, H. (2023, September 14). Iran's "Look East" Strategy: Continuity and Change under Raisi. Middle East Council on Global Affairs. https://mecouncil.org/publication/irans-look-east-strategy-continuity-and-change-under-raisi/

Babakr, A., & Abdullah, T. W. (2022). Soft Power in Iran's Foreign Policy. Qalaai Zanist Scientific Journal, 7(4), 998–1024. https://doi.org/10.25212/lfu.qzj.7.4.39

Cafiero, G., & Milliken, E. (2023, May 19). Analysis: How important is Syria's return to the Arab League? Al Jazeera. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/5/19/analysis-how-important-is-syrias-return-to-the-arab-league

Chehayeb, K. (2022, April 12). Saudi Arabia rekindles ties with cash-strapped Lebanon. Al Jazeera. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/4/12/saudi-arabia-rekindles-ties-with-cash-strapped-lebanon

Eoyang, M., Peters, A., Mehta, I., & Gaskew, B. (2019). Country Brief: Saudi Arabia and its role in Yemen. 2019 HOT TOPICS IN NATIONAL SECURITY. Third Way, 54–63. http://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep20154.8

Feierstein, G. M. (2019, November 20). Traces of the 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque still roil the Middle East today. Middle East Institute. https://www.mei.edu/blog/traces-1979-assault-grand-mosque-still-roil-middle-east-today

Gaub, F. (2016). War of words: Saudi Arabia v Iran. European Union Institute for Security Studies. https://www.iss.europa.eu/sites/default/files/EUISSFiles/Brief_2_Saudi_Arabia___Iran_01.pdf

Ghadbeigy, Z., Moosavian, S. S., & Jafari, M. (2022). The Impact of the Nuclear Program on Iran-Saudi Arabia Relations. Research Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, 1(1), 10–22. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/360264312_The_Impact_of_the_Nuclear_Program_on_Iran-Saudi_Arabia_Relations

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Guzansky, Y., & Orion, A. (2017). Slowly but Surely: Growing Relations between Saudi Arabia and China (INSS Insight No. 891). Institute for National Security Studies. http://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep08664

Hadžikadunić, E. (2019, November 24). Insight 215: Iran–Saudi Ties: Can History Project Their Trajectory? International Institute for Middle East and Balkan Studies (IFIMES). https://www.ifimes.org/en/researches/insight-215-iran-saudi-ties-can-history-project-their-trajectory/4492

Harrison, R. (2021). Gulf Cooperation Council: A House Divided. The GCC versus Iran: Low Intensity War, High Intensity Conflict. Arab Center for Research & Policy Studies, 10–13. http://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep31116.7

Hubbard, B., Karasz, P., & Reed, S. (2019, September14). Two Major Saudi Oil Installations Hit by Drone Strike, and U.S. Blames Iran (Published 2019). The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2019/09/14/world/middleeast/saudi-arabia-refineries-drone-attack.html

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Kuwait insists Iran has no right In disputed maritime oil field. (2023, 7 квітня). Iran International. https://www.iranintl.com/en/202307036932

Litvak, M. (2017). Iran and Saudi Arabia: Religious and Strategic Rivalry. J. Teitelbaum (Ed.), Saudi Arabia, the Gulf, and the New Regional Landscape. Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies, 49–54. http://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep04754.10

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Monshipouri, M. (2019). Middle East Politics: Changing Dynamics. Taylor & Francis Group

Mostafa, A. (2023, March 10). Iran and Saudi Arabia to resume relations after tensions. The National. https://www.thenationalnews.com/mena/2023/03/10/iran-says-saudi-arabia-to-resume-relations-after-tensions/

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One year since detente, tensions remain between Iran, Saudi Arabia. (2024, March 11). Iran International. https://www.iranintl.com/en/202403119522

Perkovich, G. (2006, May 9). Ahmadinejad's Letter to Bush. Carnegie endowment for international peace. https://carnegieendowment.org/2006/05/09/ahmadinejad-s-letter-to-bush-pub-18317

Potter, L. G. (2002, 15 грудня). GULF WAR and PERSIA. Encyclopædia Iranica. https://www.iranicaonline.org/articles/gulf-war-and-persia

Rome, H., & Rumley, G. (2023, March 15). What Beijing's Iran-Saudi Deal Means—and What It Doesn't. The Washington Institute. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/what-beijings-iran-saudi-deal-means-and-what-it-doesnt

Saeed, Y. (2023, June 8). Saudi Arabia Makes Soft Power Comeback in Iraq. Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington. https://agsiw.org/saudi-arabia-makes-soft-power-comeback-in-iraq/

Saikal, A. (2019). Iran Rising: The Survival and Future of the Islamic Republic. Princeton University Press

Saikal, A., & Vestenskov, D. (2020, February 20). Iran's National Security and Operational Capability. Scandinavian Journal of Military Studies. https://sjms.nu/articles/10.31374/sjms.29

Saudi King invites Syria's Assad to attend Arab League summit. (2023, May 10). Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/saudi-king-invites-syrias-assad-attend-arab-league-summit-syrian-state-media-2023-05-10/

Saudi Reinstates Pilgrimage Flights To Iranians After Detente. (2024, March 24). Iran International. https://www.iranintl.com/en/202404243908

Silber, C. (2023, March 15). China's Track Record on Middle East Diplomacy. The Washington Institute. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/chinas-track-record-middle-east-diplomacy

Stephens, M. (2023, March 11). Why the China-brokered Iran-Saudi deal heralds a new era of geopolitics. The Telegraph. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/03/11/why-china-brokered-iran-saudi-arabia-deal-new-era-geopolitics/

Tabatabai, A. (2020, May 12). How Iran was hit by and could overcome the COVID-19 crisis. European Policy Centre. https://www.epc.eu/en/publications/How-Iran-was-hit-by-and-could-overcome-the-COVID-19-crisis~330a68

Terrill, W. A. (2011). The Saudi-Iranian Rivalry and the Future of Middle East Security. Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College. https://www.files.ethz.ch/isn/142831/pub1094.pdf (The original was published in 2011)

Years of secretive talks behind Saudi-Iran rapprochement. (2023, March 10). The National. https://www.thenationalnews.com/mena/2023/03/10/years-of-secretive-talks-behind-saudi-iran-rapprochement/

Zaccara, L. (2019). Iran and the Intra-GCC Crisis: Risks and Opportunities. Istituto Affari Internazionali (IAI). http://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep19688

Zalayat, I., & Guzansky, Y. (2023). The Gulf States and the Israel-Hamas War. Institute for National Security Studies. http://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep54871

Published

2024-12-30

How to Cite

THE EVOLUTION OF IRAN–SAUDI RELATIONS SINCE THE ESTABLISHMENT OF THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC. (2024). Вісник: Міжнародні відносини, 58(1), 61-72. https://doi.org/10.17721/1728-2292.2024/1-58/61-72