THE SYRIAN CRISIS: A LOCAL CONFLICT OR A SYSTEMIC WAR?

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17721/1728-2292.2024/2-59/53-57

Keywords:

Сирія, системна війна, міжнародна система, баланс сил, США, КНР

Abstract

Background. The post-bipolar system of international relations is in a state of deep crisis: global governance institutions are ineffective, the balance of power is disturbed, the number of political, economic and cultural contradictions is only growing, and global problems of humanity are not being solved. The local conflict in Syria has grown into a systemic war, which has significantly transformed the existing international system and determined a number of subsequent events. The article examines in detail the Syrian war from the point of view of its systemic nature and impact on the global balance of power.


Methods. The study was based on a combination of two scientific approaches, namely: political realism and a systemic approach. The synthesis of these two concepts makes it possible to analyze the Syrian events from different angles: on the one hand, the role of individual actors in the conflict is highlighted in accordance with their own interests, and on the other hand, the civil war in Syria is considered as a single system of interconnected elements that interact with each other.


Results. The article examines in detail the concept of "systemic war" and its impact on the international system, analyzes systemic wars that have taken place in the history of international relations, and proves that the Syrian crisis is also one of the systemic wars that have significantly changed the global balance of power.


Conclusions. The Syrian conflict has significantly transformed the existing system of international relations, led to a change in the balance of power and the formation of new alliances, determined further armed conflicts and allowed contenders for leadership (China, Russia) to challenge the leader of the system (the United States).

References

Anna Borshchevskaya, The Treacherous Triangle of Syria, Iran, and

Russia, Spring 2023

https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/treacherous-trianglesyria-iran-and-russia

DOMINIC TIERNEY, THE FUTURE OF SINO-U.S. PROXY WAR,

Texas National Security Review, Vol 4, Iss 2 Spring 2021

http://dx.doi.org/10.26153/tsw/13198

Elizabeth Jefimova, Syria and Ukraine: Two Sides of the Same Coin?,

JOURNAL OF POLITICAL INQUIRY, April 18, 2022

https://jpinyu.com/2022/04/18/syria-and-ukraine-two-sides-of-the-same-c

oin/

Elliott Abrams, The New Cold War, Council on Foreign Relations, March

, 2022

https://www.cfr.org/blog/new-cold-war-0

Fareed Zakaria. The Self-Doubting Superpower: America Shouldn’t Give

Up on the World It Made. FOREIGN AFFAIRS. December 12, 2023

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/self-doubting-superpower-a

merica-fareed-zakaria

Kupchan, C. (2021). Bipolarity is Back: Why It Matters. The Washington

Quarterly, 44(4), 123–139.

https://doi.org/10.1080/0163660X.2021.2020457

Lindsay Maizland, Why China-Taiwan Relations Are So Tense, Council

on Foreign Relations, February 8, 2024

https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/china-taiwan-relations-tension-us-polic

y-biden

MARIA MAALOUF, Syria becoming a key battleground in US-Russia

rivalry, Arab News

https://www.arabnews.com/node/2354606

Matar, Linda, and Ali Kadri, editors. Syria : From National Independence

to Proxy War. Palgrave Macmillan, 2019.

https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-98458-2

Mikhail Korostikov, Is Russia Really Becoming China’s Vassal? The

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, July 6, 2023

https://carnegieendowment.org/russia-eurasia/politika/2023/07/is-russia-r

eally-becoming-chinas-vassal?lang=en

Peters, M. A. (2022). The emerging multipolar world order: A

preliminary analysis. Educational Philosophy and Theory, 55(14),

–1663.

https://doi.org/10.1080/00131857.2022.2151896

PHILLIPS, CHRISTOPHER. The Battle for Syria: International Rivalry

in the New Middle East. Yale University Press, 2016.

https://doi.org/10.12987/yale/9780300217179.001.0001

Phillips, David L. Frontline Syria : From Revolution to Proxy War. I.B.

Tauris, 2021.

RABINOVICH, ITAMAR, and CARMIT VALENSI. Syrian Requiem:

The Civil War and Its Aftermath. Princeton University Press, 2021.

https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctv15r57zp

The Iraq War. George W. Bush Library

https://www.georgewbushlibrary.gov/research/topic-guides/the-iraq-war

United Nations Security Council Resolution 678, adopted on 29

November 1990.

https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/102245?ln=en&v=pdf

United Nations Security Council Resolution 1973, adopted on 17 March

https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/699777?ln=en&v=pdf

Watts, Stephen, Bryan Frederick, Nathan Chandler, Mark Toukan,

Christian Curriden, Erik E. Mueller, Edward Geist, Ariane M. Tabatabai,

Sara Plana, Brandon Corbin, and Jeffrey Martini, Proxy Warfare in

Strategic Competition: State Motivations and Future Trends. Santa

Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2023.

https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA307-2.html

World Will Divide in Two Blocs, Democracy vs. Autocracy, Ex-NATO

Chief Says. NEWSWEEK MAGAZINE. May 10, 2022

https://www.newsweek.com/2022/05/13/world-will-divide-two-blocs-de

mocracy-vs-autocracy-ex-nato-chief-says-1701954.html

Yixiang Xu, Evolving Sino-Russian Cooperation in Syria, United States

Institute of Peace, September 2017

https://www.usip.org/sites/default/files/2017-10/pb236-evolving-sino-russ

ian-cooperation-in-syria.pdf

Published

2025-01-30

How to Cite

THE SYRIAN CRISIS: A LOCAL CONFLICT OR A SYSTEMIC WAR?. (2025). Вісник: Міжнародні відносини, 59(2), 53-57. https://doi.org/10.17721/1728-2292.2024/2-59/53-57